Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 118.281695 130.775666 143.615192 157.768273 172.903594 188.576888 206.006356
2025-03-02 91.544690 109.199883 128.307188 150.402253 175.126073 201.820240 232.699521
2025-03-09 74.581337 95.612316 119.494952 148.323539 181.874562 219.393271 264.215764
2025-03-16 62.815492 86.185154 113.929823 148.730661 190.637035 238.910074 298.135810
2025-03-23 55.800382 81.370584 112.940930 153.863389 204.563658 264.397829 339.388745
2025-03-30 49.238052 76.186195 110.728501 156.895301 215.594842 286.384405 376.783584
2025-04-06 42.766749 70.254689 106.824643 157.171571 222.777916 303.506881 408.386356
2025-04-13 37.493737 65.277964 103.578976 157.785599 230.024469 320.539029 439.938235
2025-04-20 34.345410 62.931041 103.567427 162.440075 242.375936 344.033871 479.801338
2025-04-27 31.253310 60.275256 102.804721 165.831566 252.945188 365.292304 517.075941
2025-05-04 28.926574 58.511027 103.090127 170.515320 265.191955 388.800519 557.481332
2025-05-11 26.485785 56.267466 102.431499 173.687853 275.310677 409.582275 594.596014
2025-05-18 22.057751 50.241910 95.690024 167.817877 272.855811 413.859999 610.641482
2025-05-25 18.823497 45.858327 91.113875 164.804058 274.172624 423.093064 633.283737
2025-06-01 16.636678 43.087164 88.866944 165.101056 280.105823 438.604525 664.453391
2025-06-08 14.968296 41.074852 87.682770 166.898503 288.166369 457.103746 699.858615
2025-06-15 14.216798 40.794652 89.376729 173.220275 302.972378 485.160685 748.565581
2025-06-22 13.121878 39.650254 89.465026 176.926652 313.920968 507.961219 790.395601
2025-06-29 11.680101 37.542961 87.669471 177.444030 320.012129 523.949091 823.045326
2025-07-06 10.430385 35.665027 86.119289 178.229985 326.442365 540.439349 856.530340
2025-07-13 9.833554 35.227453 87.184294 183.374432 339.626220 566.744157 903.922154
2025-07-20 9.122503 34.402423 87.438373 187.109875 350.656777 590.062128 947.382145
2025-07-27 8.621024 34.027774 88.511307 192.237821 363.913188 616.731127 995.778630